Small Business Sentiment Surges as the One Big Beautiful Bill Takes Effect

7/23/2025

Action Summary

  • Economic Optimism: Nearly half of small business owners rate the economy as “excellent” or “good,” a significant increase from the previous quarter.
  • Revenue Prospects: Over half of small business owners expect revenue growth in the next year, with more describing current business conditions as “good.”
  • Reduced Regulatory Impact: Fewer small business owners report being, or expecting to be, adversely affected by tariffs, government regulations, tax policy, and trade policy.
  • Presidential Endorsement: Confidence in President Trump has spiked, with nearly 60% of small business owners approving of his job performance, including a notable boost among Democrats.
  • Legislative Impact: The implementation of the landmark One Big Beautiful Bill is credited with driving improved sentiment and economic outlook among small business owners.

Risks & Considerations

  • The increase in small business confidence and economic optimism could lead to a more competitive market environment, potentially affecting Vanderbilt University’s partnerships with small businesses and local economic initiatives.
  • The reduction in concerns about government regulations and tax policies may result in a more favorable business climate, which could influence the university’s strategic planning and economic forecasts.
  • While the sentiment is positive, the reliance on a single policy, such as the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” could pose risks if future political changes alter or reverse these policies, impacting the economic landscape.
  • Vanderbilt University may need to consider how these changes in small business sentiment could affect its community engagement and support programs, particularly those aimed at fostering entrepreneurship and innovation.

Impacted Programs

  • Owen Graduate School of Management may see increased interest in programs related to entrepreneurship and small business management, as economic optimism encourages more individuals to start or expand businesses.
  • Vanderbilt’s Center for Entrepreneurship could benefit from the positive business sentiment by expanding its outreach and support services to local small businesses and startups.
  • The Office of Community Engagement might need to adjust its strategies to support small businesses in the Nashville area, leveraging the positive economic climate to foster stronger community ties.
  • Vanderbilt’s partnerships with local businesses for internships and job placements may need to be reevaluated to ensure alignment with the changing economic conditions and business confidence levels.

Financial Impact

  • The positive economic sentiment among small businesses could lead to increased philanthropic contributions and partnerships with Vanderbilt University, enhancing funding opportunities for various programs.
  • Vanderbilt might experience changes in its funding landscape, particularly if federal policies continue to favor small business growth and economic development.
  • There may be increased opportunities for Vanderbilt to secure funding for research and development in business and economic policy, particularly through collaborations with small businesses and industry partners.
  • As small business confidence grows, there could be a shift in the demographics of students applying to Vanderbilt, potentially affecting tuition revenue and financial aid distribution.

Relevance Score: 3 (The changes present moderate risks and opportunities for strategic adjustments in programs and partnerships.)

Key Actions

  • Vanderbilt’s Owen Graduate School of Management should consider developing programs or workshops focused on small business management and entrepreneurship, leveraging the increased confidence and optimism among small business owners. This could attract prospective students interested in capitalizing on the current economic climate.
  • The Office of Federal Relations should monitor changes in government regulations, tax policy, and trade policy that are perceived as less impactful by small business owners. Understanding these shifts can help Vanderbilt align its business and economic research initiatives with current market trends.
  • Vanderbilt’s Center for Entrepreneurship could explore partnerships with local small businesses to provide consulting services or collaborative projects, taking advantage of the positive sentiment and potential for growth in the small business sector.
  • The Department of Political Science should analyze the political implications of increased confidence in the administration’s policies, particularly among small business owners who identify as Democrats. This research could provide insights into shifting political dynamics and inform Vanderbilt’s strategic positioning.

Opportunities

  • The current economic optimism presents an opportunity for Vanderbilt’s Business School to expand its research on the impact of economic policies on small businesses. By publishing findings and engaging with policymakers, the university can enhance its reputation as a thought leader in economic policy.
  • Vanderbilt can capitalize on the positive sentiment by hosting events or forums that bring together small business owners, policymakers, and academics to discuss the implications of the One Big Beautiful Bill and other economic policies. This could position Vanderbilt as a hub for dialogue and innovation in business policy.

Relevance Score: 3 (Some adjustments are needed to processes or procedures to align with the positive economic sentiment and opportunities in the small business sector.)

Average Relevance Score: 1.8

Timeline for Implementation

N/A (No specific implementation deadline or timeline is mentioned in the provided text.)

Relevance Score: 1

Impacted Government Organizations

  • N/A: No specific federal agencies or departments are explicitly mentioned or directed by the policies or results discussed in the article.

Relevance Score: 1 (The text does not contain explicit directives impacting any particular agency.)

Responsible Officials

  • N/A – The article provides an economic update with no explicit directives or implementation instructions for any officials.

Relevance Score: 1 (No directives affecting operational levels were identified.)